Pick card breakdown
Click any field below to see a detailed explanation of what it means.
Brokers — where you place the bet
Brokers are the platforms where you place your bets. Think of them like different stock brokerages, but for prediction markets.
- Kalshi — our most popular platform. CFTC-regulated for US residents with legal protections and secure funds.
- Polymarket — global crypto-based platform with high liquidity and diverse markets.
- Sportsbooks — for sports picks, use any platform you prefer: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, etc.
Why we recommend multiple brokers
Different platforms often offer different odds for the same event. Shopping around can meaningfully increase your returns over time.
Odds — market probability of the outcome
Odds on prediction markets are shown as a simple percentage — the probability the market collectively assigns to an outcome occurring. No plus/minus lines, no implied conversion math.
- 72% odds — the market believes there's a 72% chance this outcome happens
- Higher odds (70–90%) — more likely to win, but lower profit potential
- Lower odds (30–50%) — less likely to win, but higher payout if it hits
How we find value
Our models calculate the true probability using thousands of data points. When the market says 72% but we calculate 83%, that gap is the edge we exploit — and it compounds over hundreds of picks.
Units — our confidence-based sizing system
One unit always equals 1% of your total bankroll. The number of units reflects our confidence in the pick.
- 1–2 units — standard confidence pick
- 2.5–3 units — high confidence, strong value identified
- 3+ units — maximum confidence (very rare)
- Example — 2.5 units on a $10k bankroll = $250 bet
Why use a unit system?
Units provide consistent, disciplined betting regardless of bankroll size. They prevent over-betting on any single pick and ensure proper risk management over time.
Recommended Bet — your personalized dollar amount
The exact dollar amount we recommend betting, automatically calculated from your bankroll and our confidence level.
- Formula — Bankroll × Units ÷ 100
- Example — $10,000 bankroll × 2.5 units = $250
- Personalized — set your bankroll in the Dashboard for custom recommendations
No math required
You never have to guess how much to bet. We calculate the optimal position size — just see the number and place the bet.
Category — the type of market
Categories help you understand the market type and manage diversification across different prediction markets.
- Politics — elections, policy outcomes, cabinet appointments, legislative decisions
- Sports — game outcomes, player props, championships, season totals
- Economics — Fed decisions, inflation data, market movements, GDP reports
- Entertainment — awards shows, box office records, streaming metrics
Why diversification matters
Spreading across categories reduces risk exposure. If one market moves against you, other categories buffer the impact.
